Pigawati, Bita and Sugiri, A and Putra, I N A M and Suryani, T A (2019) Prediction and location suitability of settlement growth at The BWK II of Semarang City. In: The Fifth International Conferences of Indonesian Society for Remote Sensing, 17-20 September 2019, West Java, Indonesia.

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Abstract

Population growth in urban areas leads to the increasing demand for settlement areas and the expansion of settlement growth in inappropriate locations. Semarang is one of the important metropolitan cities in Indonesia which has problems with the supply of settlement areas. The main focus of this research is to understand the problem, including the aspects of settlement growth, forecasting, and proposing recommendations for expansion of the settlement areas. The study area is BWK II of Semarang City which consists of two Districts, Candisari and Gajahmungkur. The study area is a very potential area for settlement growth. The aim of the research was to predict the settlement growth and assess the location suitability of settlement growth based on the Master Plan document of Semarang City. The primary data for the study is obtained from QuickBird data image, and the spatial analysis was conducted by utilizing Remote Sensing, Geographic Information System, and LanduseSim as the software for prediction simulation. Accessibility and existing settlement location are considered as the driving factor while the river is considered as the constraint factor. The result of the study shows that the prediction of settlement growth is mostly consistent with the Master Plan of Semarang City. The study provides evidence that settlement growth was also observed in the conservation area and flood-prone area which are restricted for further development. The findings are beneficial for planners to reformulate the policies and strategies for future settlement growth.

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